Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside IMHPA outlooks, points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Panama City on August 31, with scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms likely to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and possible cloud build-up from Pacific moisture supports the market’s concentration around 30–31 °C, while any earlier or more widespread storms could keep readings at or below 29 °C. Historical late-August norms near 30–32 °C provide context, yet the two-day lead time and typical model spread on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月31日巴拿马城气温最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
29°C 20%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
20%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
15%
33°C或更高
7%
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
29°C 20%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$6 交易量
27%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$11 交易量
15%
33°C或更高
$16 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside IMHPA outlooks, points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Panama City on August 31, with scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms likely to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and possible cloud build-up from Pacific moisture supports the market’s concentration around 30–31 °C, while any earlier or more widespread storms could keep readings at or below 29 °C. Historical late-August norms near 30–32 °C provide context, yet the two-day lead time and typical model spread on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside IMHPA outlooks, points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Panama City on August 31, with scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms likely to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and possible cloud build-up from Pacific moisture supports the market’s concentration around 30–31 °C, while any earlier or more widespread storms could keep readings at or below 29 °C. Historical late-August norms near 30–32 °C provide context, yet the two-day lead time and typical model spread on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside IMHPA outlooks, points to a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C in Panama City on August 31, with scattered afternoon convection and thunderstorms likely to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. High humidity near 80 % combined with light variable winds and possible cloud build-up from Pacific moisture supports the market’s concentration around 30–31 °C, while any earlier or more widespread storms could keep readings at or below 29 °C. Historical late-August norms near 30–32 °C provide context, yet the two-day lead time and typical model spread on convective timing introduce the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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