Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring forecasts for a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on August 29, directly supporting the market’s leading 43.5% and 29.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs project highs of 26–29°C amid 90–100% rain chances and southwesterly winds, limiting solar heating compared with clearer conditions typical of the season. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima around 28–30°C under analogous heavy precipitation, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 30°C remain low-probability without a sharp forecast shift. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of the daily peak will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月29日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 44%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
44%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
23°C或以下
$14 交易量
<1%
24°C
$14 交易量
<1%
25°C
$93 交易量
2%
26°C
$91 交易量
4%
27°C
$643 交易量
7%
28°C
$1,855 交易量
30%
29°C
$951 交易量
44%
30°C
$409 交易量
15%
31°C
$202 交易量
4%
32°C
$233 交易量
1%
33°C或更高
$119 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring forecasts for a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on August 29, directly supporting the market’s leading 43.5% and 29.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs project highs of 26–29°C amid 90–100% rain chances and southwesterly winds, limiting solar heating compared with clearer conditions typical of the season. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima around 28–30°C under analogous heavy precipitation, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 30°C remain low-probability without a sharp forecast shift. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of the daily peak will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$4,625结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring forecasts for a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on August 29, directly supporting the market’s leading 43.5% and 29.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs project highs of 26–29°C amid 90–100% rain chances and southwesterly winds, limiting solar heating compared with clearer conditions typical of the season. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima around 28–30°C under analogous heavy precipitation, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 30°C remain low-probability without a sharp forecast shift. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of the daily peak will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,625结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring forecasts for a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on August 29, directly supporting the market’s leading 43.5% and 29.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs project highs of 26–29°C amid 90–100% rain chances and southwesterly winds, limiting solar heating compared with clearer conditions typical of the season. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima around 28–30°C under analogous heavy precipitation, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 30°C remain low-probability without a sharp forecast shift. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings ahead of the daily peak will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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