Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown San Francisco show a high near 73°F on August 27 under partly cloudy skies, with a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting afternoon warming. This keeps coastal readings below seasonal peaks despite broader Bay Area ridging, as stratus and southwest winds around 10-20 mph suppress temperatures in the immediate city. Nearby stations and models diverge slightly on clearing timing and exact peak, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 72-75°F. Historical August maxima average near 69-70°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-average potential tempered by the shallow marine influence. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing shifts the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日旧金山气温最高?
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 18%
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 18%
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown San Francisco show a high near 73°F on August 27 under partly cloudy skies, with a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting afternoon warming. This keeps coastal readings below seasonal peaks despite broader Bay Area ridging, as stratus and southwest winds around 10-20 mph suppress temperatures in the immediate city. Nearby stations and models diverge slightly on clearing timing and exact peak, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 72-75°F. Historical August maxima average near 69-70°F, so current conditions reflect modest above-average potential tempered by the shallow marine influence. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or earlier clearing shifts the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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