Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in Taipei to around 25–27°C on August 24–25, but official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and numerical models indicate clearing skies and reduced precipitation on August 26. This shift favors greater solar insolation and surface heating, supporting highs in the 30–33°C range under typical late-August humidity and light winds. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 32°C, with limited model spread on intensification potential. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, pricing 32–34°C as the leading cluster while assigning modest probability to outliers above 35°C that would require stronger subsidence or delayed cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日台北气温最高?
34°C 30%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
24%
33°C
26%
34°C
30%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
34°C 30%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
24%
33°C
26%
34°C
30%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover have suppressed daytime highs in Taipei to around 25–27°C on August 24–25, but official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and numerical models indicate clearing skies and reduced precipitation on August 26. This shift favors greater solar insolation and surface heating, supporting highs in the 30–33°C range under typical late-August humidity and light winds. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima near 32°C, with limited model spread on intensification potential. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, pricing 32–34°C as the leading cluster while assigning modest probability to outliers above 35°C that would require stronger subsidence or delayed cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题