Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco today project a high near 74°F, with morning marine layer stratus giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–15 mph, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered at 74–77°F. This outlook reflects a modest warming trend under Southwest ridging that has lifted temperatures slightly above the late-August climatological average of 70°F, though persistent onshore flow and the shallow marine layer continue to suppress extremes along the immediate coast. Recent model consensus from NWS and supporting guidance shows limited upside risk from inland heat advection, keeping probabilities for 78°F or higher below 15% while the 70–73°F range retains secondary support if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Traders are weighting these official temperature thresholds and wind-driven mixing patterns as the key resolution drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日旧金山气温最高？
8月26日旧金山气温最高？
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
78-79°F 10%
$22,521 交易量
$22,521 交易量
2026-08-26
69°F或更低
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
78-79°F 10%
$22,521 交易量
$22,521 交易量
2026-08-26
69°F或更低
$434 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$629 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$2,684 交易量
21%
74-75°F
$4,540 交易量
40%
76-77°F
$2,053 交易量
26%
78-79°F
$3,393 交易量
10%
80-81°F
$1,293 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$1,547 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$1,249 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$2,214 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$2,552 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco today project a high near 74°F, with morning marine layer stratus giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–15 mph, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered at 74–77°F. This outlook reflects a modest warming trend under Southwest ridging that has lifted temperatures slightly above the late-August climatological average of 70°F, though persistent onshore flow and the shallow marine layer continue to suppress extremes along the immediate coast. Recent model consensus from NWS and supporting guidance shows limited upside risk from inland heat advection, keeping probabilities for 78°F or higher below 15% while the 70–73°F range retains secondary support if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Traders are weighting these official temperature thresholds and wind-driven mixing patterns as the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$22,521结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco today project a high near 74°F, with morning marine layer stratus giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–15 mph, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered at 74–77°F. This outlook reflects a modest warming trend under Southwest ridging that has lifted temperatures slightly above the late-August climatological average of 70°F, though persistent onshore flow and the shallow marine layer continue to suppress extremes along the immediate coast. Recent model consensus from NWS and supporting guidance shows limited upside risk from inland heat advection, keeping probabilities for 78°F or higher below 15% while the 70–73°F range retains secondary support if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Traders are weighting these official temperature thresholds and wind-driven mixing patterns as the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,521结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco today project a high near 74°F, with morning marine layer stratus giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–15 mph, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered at 74–77°F. This outlook reflects a modest warming trend under Southwest ridging that has lifted temperatures slightly above the late-August climatological average of 70°F, though persistent onshore flow and the shallow marine layer continue to suppress extremes along the immediate coast. Recent model consensus from NWS and supporting guidance shows limited upside risk from inland heat advection, keeping probabilities for 78°F or higher below 15% while the 70–73°F range retains secondary support if cloud cover lingers longer than expected. Traders are weighting these official temperature thresholds and wind-driven mixing patterns as the key resolution drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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