Recent official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 22–23°C in Paris on August 28, driven by a southwest flow of cooler maritime air behind a frontal system that brought rain on the 27th. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the seasonal average of about 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters on these values because ensemble runs show low spread in maximum temperatures once precipitation timing and wind speeds (10–16 km/h SW) are accounted for; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and radar trends through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日巴黎气温最高?
22°C 37%
23°C 30%
24°C 19%
25°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
37%
23°C
30%
24°C
19%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
3%
22°C 37%
23°C 30%
24°C 19%
25°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
37%
23°C
30%
24°C
19%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ECMWF consensus indicate a high near 22–23°C in Paris on August 28, driven by a southwest flow of cooler maritime air behind a frontal system that brought rain on the 27th. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching the seasonal average of about 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters on these values because ensemble runs show low spread in maximum temperatures once precipitation timing and wind speeds (10–16 km/h SW) are accounted for; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and radar trends through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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