**Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami favor a daily minimum temperature in the low 80s°F on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (44%), 76-77°F (30%), and 78-79°F (26.5%).** Official National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow (5–12 mph), and scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity (70–80%) and limited diurnal cooling typical of the Florida peninsula in late August suppress stronger nighttime drops, keeping the 24-hour minimum near or just above 80°F. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling events to push readings into the mid- or upper-70s. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain the key variables that could nudge the exact low within the 78–83°F band, consistent with historical late-August averages near 77–78°F but elevated this year by above-normal moisture. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, reflected in the tight clustering around 80–81°F as the implied mode.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 15%
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71华氏度
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 15%
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71华氏度
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions in Miami favor a daily minimum temperature in the low 80s°F on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (44%), 76-77°F (30%), and 78-79°F (26.5%).** Official National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate overnight lows around 80–84°F under partly cloudy skies, light easterly flow (5–12 mph), and scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity (70–80%) and limited diurnal cooling typical of the Florida peninsula in late August suppress stronger nighttime drops, keeping the 24-hour minimum near or just above 80°F. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling events to push readings into the mid- or upper-70s. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain the key variables that could nudge the exact low within the 78–83°F band, consistent with historical late-August averages near 77–78°F but elevated this year by above-normal moisture. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, reflected in the tight clustering around 80–81°F as the implied mode.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题