Recent weather model consensus for Busan on August 31 points to a daytime high near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow, consistent with the typical late-August cooling trend in the region after peak summer warmth. This setup, with moderate humidity and storm chances around 50%, caps extreme heating while allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s if insolation strengthens. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble runs and historical variability in maximum temperatures during similar patterns, while lower outcomes capture the baseline forecast and potential for greater cloud cover or earlier rain suppression. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日釜山气温最高?
32°C 43%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
23%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
23%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus for Busan on August 31 points to a daytime high near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly flow, consistent with the typical late-August cooling trend in the region after peak summer warmth. This setup, with moderate humidity and storm chances around 50%, caps extreme heating while allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s if insolation strengthens. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble runs and historical variability in maximum temperatures during similar patterns, while lower outcomes capture the baseline forecast and potential for greater cloud cover or earlier rain suppression. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题