Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on August 28, with most forecasts clustering between 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow favor strong daytime heating with dew points near 65–70°F, though limited moisture should suppress widespread convection. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F bin, followed by 98–99°F, while lower probabilities on 102°F+ reflect the modest risk of slightly stronger subsidence or clearer conditions. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings amid the current heat wave. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will offer the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月28日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 25%
102-103华氏度 14%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
91°F或更低
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
52%
102-103华氏度
14%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 25%
102-103华氏度 14%
96-97°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
91°F或更低
$80 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$45 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$10 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$217 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$825 交易量
25%
100-101°F
$1,725 交易量
52%
102-103华氏度
$53 交易量
14%
104-105°F
$66 交易量
4%
106-107°F
$64 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$330 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$280 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on August 28, with most forecasts clustering between 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow favor strong daytime heating with dew points near 65–70°F, though limited moisture should suppress widespread convection. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F bin, followed by 98–99°F, while lower probabilities on 102°F+ reflect the modest risk of slightly stronger subsidence or clearer conditions. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings amid the current heat wave. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will offer the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,695结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on August 28, with most forecasts clustering between 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow favor strong daytime heating with dew points near 65–70°F, though limited moisture should suppress widespread convection. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F bin, followed by 98–99°F, while lower probabilities on 102°F+ reflect the modest risk of slightly stronger subsidence or clearer conditions. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings amid the current heat wave. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will offer the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,695结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on August 28, with most forecasts clustering between 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow favor strong daytime heating with dew points near 65–70°F, though limited moisture should suppress widespread convection. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on the 100–101°F bin, followed by 98–99°F, while lower probabilities on 102°F+ reflect the modest risk of slightly stronger subsidence or clearer conditions. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context for the elevated readings amid the current heat wave. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will offer the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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