Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local models indicate Shanghai highs near 32–33°C on August 27 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with light rain or broken clouds potentially capping peaks through reduced solar heating. High humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer limit overnight cooling and influence diurnal ranges, while East Asian summer patterns sustain elevated baseline temperatures around the 31–32°C climatological norm. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C outcomes reflects this narrow spread and model agreement on modest variability, though slight shifts in cloud cover or moisture advection could tip the daily maximum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日上海气温最高?
31°C 44%
32°C 44%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
44%
32°C
44%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 44%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
44%
32°C
44%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local models indicate Shanghai highs near 32–33°C on August 27 amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with light rain or broken clouds potentially capping peaks through reduced solar heating. High humidity and light easterly winds typical of late summer limit overnight cooling and influence diurnal ranges, while East Asian summer patterns sustain elevated baseline temperatures around the 31–32°C climatological norm. Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C outcomes reflects this narrow spread and model agreement on modest variability, though slight shifts in cloud cover or moisture advection could tip the daily maximum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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