Strong model consensus and observational data from Cape Town stations indicate a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 27, driven by a warmer-than-average air mass, light northwest winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhanced solar heating during peak insolation hours. Official forecasts from multiple sources projected highs of 24–26°C, well above the August climatological baseline near 18–20°C, with afternoon readings confirming the upward trend before resolution. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher reflects this evidence-based outlook while acknowledging minor uncertainty from station-specific measurement protocols or late-day cooling shifts that could theoretically alter the official high by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日开普敦气温最高？
8月27日开普敦气温最高？
25°C或更高 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$39,439 交易量
$39,439 交易量
2026-08-27
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
是
25°C或更高 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$39,439 交易量
$39,439 交易量
2026-08-27
15°C或以下
$485 交易量
否
16°C
$1,399 交易量
否
17°C
$2,502 交易量
否
18°C
$1,846 交易量
否
19°C
$1,170 交易量
否
20°C
$1,602 交易量
否
21°C
$1,904 交易量
否
22°C
$4,137 交易量
否
23°C
$4,159 交易量
否
24°C
$8,171 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$12,065 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and observational data from Cape Town stations indicate a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 27, driven by a warmer-than-average air mass, light northwest winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhanced solar heating during peak insolation hours. Official forecasts from multiple sources projected highs of 24–26°C, well above the August climatological baseline near 18–20°C, with afternoon readings confirming the upward trend before resolution. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher reflects this evidence-based outlook while acknowledging minor uncertainty from station-specific measurement protocols or late-day cooling shifts that could theoretically alter the official high by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$39,439结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and observational data from Cape Town stations indicate a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 27, driven by a warmer-than-average air mass, light northwest winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhanced solar heating during peak insolation hours. Official forecasts from multiple sources projected highs of 24–26°C, well above the August climatological baseline near 18–20°C, with afternoon readings confirming the upward trend before resolution. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher reflects this evidence-based outlook while acknowledging minor uncertainty from station-specific measurement protocols or late-day cooling shifts that could theoretically alter the official high by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,439结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Strong model consensus and observational data from Cape Town stations indicate a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 25°C on August 27, driven by a warmer-than-average air mass, light northwest winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhanced solar heating during peak insolation hours. Official forecasts from multiple sources projected highs of 24–26°C, well above the August climatological baseline near 18–20°C, with afternoon readings confirming the upward trend before resolution. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher reflects this evidence-based outlook while acknowledging minor uncertainty from station-specific measurement protocols or late-day cooling shifts that could theoretically alter the official high by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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