Official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African meteorological data, point to a maximum of 16°C on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5% implied probability) and 16°C (26%), as slight model spread and station-specific measurement variations allow for a one-degree upside. Cooler outcomes below 16°C reflect lower confidence in any unexpected cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 18°C given the absence of warm advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日开普敦气温最高？
8月30日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 52%
16°C 26%
18°C 17%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
26%
17°C
52%
18°C
17%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 52%
16°C 26%
18°C 17%
19°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
$32 交易量
<1%
13°C
$191 交易量
<1%
14°C
$135 交易量
2%
15°C
$305 交易量
4%
16°C
$916 交易量
26%
17°C
$817 交易量
52%
18°C
$747 交易量
17%
19°C
$301 交易量
4%
20°C
$112 交易量
<1%
21°C
$426 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$1,010 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African meteorological data, point to a maximum of 16°C on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5% implied probability) and 16°C (26%), as slight model spread and station-specific measurement variations allow for a one-degree upside. Cooler outcomes below 16°C reflect lower confidence in any unexpected cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 18°C given the absence of warm advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,992结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African meteorological data, point to a maximum of 16°C on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5% implied probability) and 16°C (26%), as slight model spread and station-specific measurement variations allow for a one-degree upside. Cooler outcomes below 16°C reflect lower confidence in any unexpected cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 18°C given the absence of warm advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,992结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African meteorological data, point to a maximum of 16°C on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. This supports the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5% implied probability) and 16°C (26%), as slight model spread and station-specific measurement variations allow for a one-degree upside. Cooler outcomes below 16°C reflect lower confidence in any unexpected cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 18°C given the absence of warm advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official briefings near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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