Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance center on a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny skies with light southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern and moderate southerly advection. This consensus, with limited day-to-day changes in recent runs, underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C. Traders assign higher probability to 27°C (40.5%) than the base forecast (28.5% at 26°C) likely due to typical model underestimation of peak heating, urban heat-island effects, or minor ensemble spread toward warmer solutions. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson or equivalent stations, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日多伦多气温最高？
8月29日多伦多气温最高？
27°C 44%
26°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
44%
28°C
21%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$159 交易量
<1%
23°C
$67 交易量
1%
24°C
$49 交易量
3%
25°C
$257 交易量
7%
26°C
$351 交易量
24%
27°C
$399 交易量
44%
28°C
$294 交易量
21%
29°C
$32 交易量
4%
30°C
$48 交易量
2%
31°C
$218 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$390 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance center on a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny skies with light southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern and moderate southerly advection. This consensus, with limited day-to-day changes in recent runs, underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C. Traders assign higher probability to 27°C (40.5%) than the base forecast (28.5% at 26°C) likely due to typical model underestimation of peak heating, urban heat-island effects, or minor ensemble spread toward warmer solutions. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson or equivalent stations, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,264结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance center on a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny skies with light southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern and moderate southerly advection. This consensus, with limited day-to-day changes in recent runs, underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C. Traders assign higher probability to 27°C (40.5%) than the base forecast (28.5% at 26°C) likely due to typical model underestimation of peak heating, urban heat-island effects, or minor ensemble spread toward warmer solutions. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson or equivalent stations, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,264结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance center on a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny skies with light southwest winds and minimal cloud cover, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern and moderate southerly advection. This consensus, with limited day-to-day changes in recent runs, underpins the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C. Traders assign higher probability to 27°C (40.5%) than the base forecast (28.5% at 26°C) likely due to typical model underestimation of peak heating, urban heat-island effects, or minor ensemble spread toward warmer solutions. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Pearson or equivalent stations, with low precipitation risk reducing variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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