Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent west-southwesterly winds, haze, and increasing cloud cover that limit intense solar heating during the waning monsoon period. This aligns with typical late-August climatology near 30–32°C and recent observations showing stable conditions without heatwave signals or significant moisture influx. Model consensus narrows the range, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited upside potential from current steering flows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日卡拉奇的最高温度?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
33°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C或更高
1%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
33°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and global models indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent west-southwesterly winds, haze, and increasing cloud cover that limit intense solar heating during the waning monsoon period. This aligns with typical late-August climatology near 30–32°C and recent observations showing stable conditions without heatwave signals or significant moisture influx. Model consensus narrows the range, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. The market-implied odds heavily favor 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric patterns and limited upside potential from current steering flows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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