Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 30, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. In this equatorial setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity near 70–80%, and convective cloud development that can suppress heating by midday. August's climatological baseline averages around 32–34°C, with recent observations showing modest positive anomalies from reduced rainfall earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 34°C outcomes include subtle shifts in steering winds, timing of any showers, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日吉隆坡气温最高?
33°C 44%
34°C 36%
35°C 8%
36°C 3.6%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
44%
34°C
36%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 36%
35°C 8%
36°C 3.6%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
44%
34°C
36%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 30, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. In this equatorial setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity near 70–80%, and convective cloud development that can suppress heating by midday. August's climatological baseline averages around 32–34°C, with recent observations showing modest positive anomalies from reduced rainfall earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 34°C outcomes include subtle shifts in steering winds, timing of any showers, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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