**Recent forecast model runs and typical late-August conditions in Jeddah's Red Sea coastal climate are the main drivers positioning 39–40°C+ as the leading market-implied outcomes (71.5% combined).** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug show daytime highs reaching 38–42°C (100–108°F) on August 30 under sunny, low-precipitation patterns, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima hover near 36–38°C but occasional peaks exceed 40°C. High humidity (often 40–60%) and light northwesterly winds limit overnight cooling, while model consensus on stable high pressure supports potential for the upper end of the range. Shorter-range updates closer to the date will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in steering or cloud cover can alter peak readings at the primary reporting station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日吉达的最高温度?
40°C或更高 45%
39°C 37%
38°C 16%
37°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
16%
39°C
26%
40°C或更高
45%
40°C或更高 45%
39°C 37%
38°C 16%
37°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
16%
39°C
26%
40°C或更高
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecast model runs and typical late-August conditions in Jeddah's Red Sea coastal climate are the main drivers positioning 39–40°C+ as the leading market-implied outcomes (71.5% combined).** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and WeatherBug show daytime highs reaching 38–42°C (100–108°F) on August 30 under sunny, low-precipitation patterns, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima hover near 36–38°C but occasional peaks exceed 40°C. High humidity (often 40–60%) and light northwesterly winds limit overnight cooling, while model consensus on stable high pressure supports potential for the upper end of the range. Shorter-range updates closer to the date will refine these probabilities, as small shifts in steering or cloud cover can alter peak readings at the primary reporting station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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