Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 28 August amid a southwesterly flow bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus, with 23 °C at 31 % and 22 °C at 27.5 % implied probability, reflects this narrow range and the sensitivity of peak readings to the exact timing and intensity of rain bands. Stronger winds and persistent low cloud could suppress readings toward 22 °C by enhancing mixing and limiting insolation, while any temporary breaks might briefly allow 24 °C. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日伦敦气温最高?
23°C 32%
22°C 28%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
7%
23°C 32%
22°C 28%
24°C 18%
21°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 28 August amid a southwesterly flow bringing scattered showers and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus, with 23 °C at 31 % and 22 °C at 27.5 % implied probability, reflects this narrow range and the sensitivity of peak readings to the exact timing and intensity of rain bands. Stronger winds and persistent low cloud could suppress readings toward 22 °C by enhancing mixing and limiting insolation, while any temporary breaks might briefly allow 24 °C. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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