Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate overnight lows near 17°C across Greater London under a mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 16°C as the most probable minimum. This aligns with late-August climatology at London Heathrow, where mean lows run 14–15°C but warm advection often produces 16–17°C readings when Atlantic air dominates. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum observations through 06:00 UTC. Clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift could push values to 15°C or below, though current conditions and ensemble spread make that outcome unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日伦敦最低气温?
16°C 100.0%
11°C或更低 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
11°C或更低
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
11°C或更低 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,724 交易量
$11,724 交易量
11°C或更低
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current Met Office and European model guidance indicate overnight lows near 17°C across Greater London under a mild southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 16°C as the most probable minimum. This aligns with late-August climatology at London Heathrow, where mean lows run 14–15°C but warm advection often produces 16–17°C readings when Atlantic air dominates. Resolution hinges on official Met Office minimum observations through 06:00 UTC. Clearer skies or a sharper northerly shift could push values to 15°C or below, though current conditions and ensemble spread make that outcome unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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