Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on August 28, with partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. This pattern aligns closely with late-August climatological normals near 82°F, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while supporting the 84-85°F outcome at 31%. Early-morning observations near 69-71°F and limited moisture advection reduce odds of extremes above 86°F or below 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast range against potential convective cooling or clearer-sky warming as the primary uncertainty ahead of official settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日纽约市的最高温度？
8月28日纽约市的最高温度？
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
$22,006 交易量
$22,006 交易量
2026-08-28
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
$22,006 交易量
$22,006 交易量
2026-08-28
71°F or below
$223 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$268 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$343 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$616 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$3,927 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$6,224 交易量
17%
82-83°F
$3,372 交易量
47%
84-85°F
$2,849 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$3,269 交易量
6%
88-89°F
$642 交易量
2%
90°F or higher
$272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on August 28, with partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. This pattern aligns closely with late-August climatological normals near 82°F, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while supporting the 84-85°F outcome at 31%. Early-morning observations near 69-71°F and limited moisture advection reduce odds of extremes above 86°F or below 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast range against potential convective cooling or clearer-sky warming as the primary uncertainty ahead of official settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$22,006结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on August 28, with partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. This pattern aligns closely with late-August climatological normals near 82°F, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while supporting the 84-85°F outcome at 31%. Early-morning observations near 69-71°F and limited moisture advection reduce odds of extremes above 86°F or below 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast range against potential convective cooling or clearer-sky warming as the primary uncertainty ahead of official settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,006结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on August 28, with partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. This pattern aligns closely with late-August climatological normals near 82°F, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while supporting the 84-85°F outcome at 31%. Early-morning observations near 69-71°F and limited moisture advection reduce odds of extremes above 86°F or below 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast range against potential convective cooling or clearer-sky warming as the primary uncertainty ahead of official settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题