Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 28, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 30-40% chance of showers that limit radiational cooling. Official guidance from the Upton, NY office and supporting model runs point to minimums near 68-69°F at Central Park and LaGuardia, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by residual humidity from prior days' storms. Trader consensus favoring the 70-73°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential urban heat retention, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-68°F outcomes given the absence of strong high pressure or northerly flow that would produce sharper drops. Updated model consensus and any evening observations will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of final daily minimum resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月28日的最低温度?
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
5%
78°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
5%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 28, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a 30-40% chance of showers that limit radiational cooling. Official guidance from the Upton, NY office and supporting model runs point to minimums near 68-69°F at Central Park and LaGuardia, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by residual humidity from prior days' storms. Trader consensus favoring the 70-73°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact timing of clearing skies and potential urban heat retention, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-68°F outcomes given the absence of strong high pressure or northerly flow that would produce sharper drops. Updated model consensus and any evening observations will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of final daily minimum resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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