Recent forecast updates from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a stronger-than-expected influx of cooler polar air combined with clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 3°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for 3°C, while the 32% on 2°C or below captures residual model spread on exact radiative losses and wind effects. Historical August climatology shows occasional dips to similar levels under comparable high-pressure setups, though current observations suggest the low will settle above the long-term extreme tail. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with final model runs and real-time surface data likely to refine the range before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月29日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
2°C或以下 64%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 交易量
$2,376 交易量
2026-08-29
2°C或以下
64%
3°C
-
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
2°C或以下 64%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 交易量
$2,376 交易量
2026-08-29
2°C或以下
$85 交易量
64%
3°C
$404 交易量
-
4°C
$356 交易量
1%
5°C
$274 交易量
<1%
6°C
$205 交易量
<1%
7°C
$91 交易量
<1%
8°C
$79 交易量
<1%
9°C
$107 交易量
<1%
10°C
$151 交易量
<1%
11°C
$312 交易量
<1%
12°C或更高
$312 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a stronger-than-expected influx of cooler polar air combined with clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 3°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for 3°C, while the 32% on 2°C or below captures residual model spread on exact radiative losses and wind effects. Historical August climatology shows occasional dips to similar levels under comparable high-pressure setups, though current observations suggest the low will settle above the long-term extreme tail. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with final model runs and real-time surface data likely to refine the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,376结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a stronger-than-expected influx of cooler polar air combined with clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 3°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for 3°C, while the 32% on 2°C or below captures residual model spread on exact radiative losses and wind effects. Historical August climatology shows occasional dips to similar levels under comparable high-pressure setups, though current observations suggest the low will settle above the long-term extreme tail. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with final model runs and real-time surface data likely to refine the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,376结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent forecast updates from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a stronger-than-expected influx of cooler polar air combined with clear skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 3°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for 3°C, while the 32% on 2°C or below captures residual model spread on exact radiative losses and wind effects. Historical August climatology shows occasional dips to similar levels under comparable high-pressure setups, though current observations suggest the low will settle above the long-term extreme tail. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with final model runs and real-time surface data likely to refine the range before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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