Current forecasts from multiple models, including consensus runs from GFS and ECMWF analogs, indicate a high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure with light easterly flow off the Atlantic and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 9–11°C, consistent with late-winter climatology but below the market’s leading 19–20°C outcomes. Trader positioning likely reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential model underestimation of warm advection, and resolution criteria tied to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Key upcoming updates from morning model cycles and any shift in steering winds could tighten the range between these closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月29日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
35%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$20 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$8 交易量
9%
19°C
$23 交易量
35%
20°C
$330 交易量
28%
21°C
$17 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including consensus runs from GFS and ECMWF analogs, indicate a high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure with light easterly flow off the Atlantic and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 9–11°C, consistent with late-winter climatology but below the market’s leading 19–20°C outcomes. Trader positioning likely reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential model underestimation of warm advection, and resolution criteria tied to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Key upcoming updates from morning model cycles and any shift in steering winds could tighten the range between these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$398结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including consensus runs from GFS and ECMWF analogs, indicate a high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure with light easterly flow off the Atlantic and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 9–11°C, consistent with late-winter climatology but below the market’s leading 19–20°C outcomes. Trader positioning likely reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential model underestimation of warm advection, and resolution criteria tied to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Key upcoming updates from morning model cycles and any shift in steering winds could tighten the range between these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$398结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus runs from GFS and ECMWF analogs, indicate a high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure with light easterly flow off the Atlantic and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 9–11°C, consistent with late-winter climatology but below the market’s leading 19–20°C outcomes. Trader positioning likely reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential model underestimation of warm advection, and resolution criteria tied to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Key upcoming updates from morning model cycles and any shift in steering winds could tighten the range between these closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题