Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models point to a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer conditions, light easterly to southeasterly winds near 10–15 km/h, and surface pressures near 1010–1014 hPa that limit vertical mixing. These conditions, following overnight lows around 9–11°C and dew points of 7–9°C, favor modest daytime warming under limited insolation rather than stronger heating. Market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized clearing that could push peaks 1–2°C above consensus, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below align with the risk of persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but the narrow clustering around 19–20°C underscores uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
19°C 40%
20°C 35%
21°C 13%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
40%
20°C
35%
21°C
13%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 35%
21°C 13%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
14°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
15°C
$5 交易量
2%
16°C
$30 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$586 交易量
10%
19°C
$741 交易量
40%
20°C
$183 交易量
35%
21°C
$380 交易量
13%
22°C
$125 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models point to a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer conditions, light easterly to southeasterly winds near 10–15 km/h, and surface pressures near 1010–1014 hPa that limit vertical mixing. These conditions, following overnight lows around 9–11°C and dew points of 7–9°C, favor modest daytime warming under limited insolation rather than stronger heating. Market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized clearing that could push peaks 1–2°C above consensus, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below align with the risk of persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but the narrow clustering around 19–20°C underscores uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,166结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models point to a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer conditions, light easterly to southeasterly winds near 10–15 km/h, and surface pressures near 1010–1014 hPa that limit vertical mixing. These conditions, following overnight lows around 9–11°C and dew points of 7–9°C, favor modest daytime warming under limited insolation rather than stronger heating. Market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized clearing that could push peaks 1–2°C above consensus, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below align with the risk of persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but the narrow clustering around 19–20°C underscores uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,166结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models point to a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer conditions, light easterly to southeasterly winds near 10–15 km/h, and surface pressures near 1010–1014 hPa that limit vertical mixing. These conditions, following overnight lows around 9–11°C and dew points of 7–9°C, favor modest daytime warming under limited insolation rather than stronger heating. Market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized clearing that could push peaks 1–2°C above consensus, while lower probabilities for 18°C or below align with the risk of persistent cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but the narrow clustering around 19–20°C underscores uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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