Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Busan on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Late-August climatology places average highs near 30°C, but persistent summer humidity, light southwesterly flow, and coastal sea breezes can either cap or briefly elevate readings depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, which traders weigh when pricing the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine whether weak disturbances suppress the peak or allow clearer skies to push toward the upper end of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日釜山气温最高?
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 17%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 17%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Busan on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Late-August climatology places average highs near 30°C, but persistent summer humidity, light southwesterly flow, and coastal sea breezes can either cap or briefly elevate readings depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, which traders weigh when pricing the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine whether weak disturbances suppress the peak or allow clearer skies to push toward the upper end of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题