Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on a Moscow daytime high of 19–20°C for August 27, 2026, amid a seasonal late-summer cooling trend with northerly flow and variable cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 19°C (35.5%) and 18°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, stems from small differences in ensemble model runs regarding afternoon clearing versus lingering low-level stratus or light showers that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution relies on precise observations at Moscow’s main meteorological station, where urban effects and exact wind shifts introduce narrow uncertainty bands around the climatological August average near 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日莫斯科最高气温?
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on a Moscow daytime high of 19–20°C for August 27, 2026, amid a seasonal late-summer cooling trend with northerly flow and variable cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 19°C (35.5%) and 18°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, stems from small differences in ensemble model runs regarding afternoon clearing versus lingering low-level stratus or light showers that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Official resolution relies on precise observations at Moscow’s main meteorological station, where urban effects and exact wind shifts introduce narrow uncertainty bands around the climatological August average near 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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