Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecast guidance for Los Angeles on August 25 shows the highest temperature most likely falling in the 82–85°F range, creating the near-even market split between 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer uncertainty driven by variable marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and subtle differences in mid-level temperature advection across global and regional models. Historical August climatology for downtown Los Angeles places average daily maxima near 84°F, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns can easily move the peak by 1–3°F. Final resolution depends on official thermometer readings at the designated station once the calendar day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日洛杉矶气温最高?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 40%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 5%
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 40%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 5%
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecast guidance for Los Angeles on August 25 shows the highest temperature most likely falling in the 82–85°F range, creating the near-even market split between 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer uncertainty driven by variable marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and subtle differences in mid-level temperature advection across global and regional models. Historical August climatology for downtown Los Angeles places average daily maxima near 84°F, but small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns can easily move the peak by 1–3°F. Final resolution depends on official thermometer readings at the designated station once the calendar day ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题