Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 31%
102-103°F 16%
108-109华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
31%
108-109华氏度
8%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F或更高
2%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 31%
102-103°F 16%
108-109华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
$80 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$87 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$26 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$9 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$28 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$140 交易量
53%
106-107°F
$65 交易量
31%
108-109华氏度
$22 交易量
8%
110-111°F
$22 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$26 交易量
2%
114°F或更高
$18 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$522结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$522结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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