Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate partly cloudy skies over Toronto on August 25 with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h moderating daytime heating, supporting a high near 23–25°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 25.4°C while reflecting cooler recent conditions and limited moisture return. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range and low precipitation risk, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Trader-implied odds near 41% and 38% respectively capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–26°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日多伦多气温最高?
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate partly cloudy skies over Toronto on August 25 with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h moderating daytime heating, supporting a high near 23–25°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 25.4°C while reflecting cooler recent conditions and limited moisture return. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range and low precipitation risk, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Trader-implied odds near 41% and 38% respectively capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–26°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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