Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日武汉气温最高?
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 11%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from models including ECMWF and GFS show Wuhan under persistent high pressure and clear skies through August 27, favoring peak temperatures of 37–38°C. Low-level easterly flow and limited moisture keep dew points moderate, supporting strong daytime heating, while any brief afternoon convection could cap the maximum. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because model consensus remains tight yet allows for small differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation that typically separate 37°C from 39°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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