Recent official forecasts from the Hubei Meteorological Bureau project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 27, under multi-cloud to clear skies with isolated showers possible and light northeast winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure following the end of the 40-day "fu" heat period has sustained elevated nighttime temperatures near 27–28°C, limiting radiative cooling despite the post-summer transition. Model consensus shows modest variability in overnight lows due to humidity levels around 55–65% and any localized convection, creating tight market-implied odds between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Traders weigh these against historical late-August baselines and the potential for minor revisions in final observational data from central weather stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日武汉最低气温?
24°C or below 58%
27°C 35%
28°C 32%
31°C 28%
24°C or below
58%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
-
24°C or below 58%
27°C 35%
28°C 32%
31°C 28%
24°C or below
58%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Hubei Meteorological Bureau project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Wuhan on August 27, under multi-cloud to clear skies with isolated showers possible and light northeast winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure following the end of the 40-day "fu" heat period has sustained elevated nighttime temperatures near 27–28°C, limiting radiative cooling despite the post-summer transition. Model consensus shows modest variability in overnight lows due to humidity levels around 55–65% and any localized convection, creating tight market-implied odds between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Traders weigh these against historical late-August baselines and the potential for minor revisions in final observational data from central weather stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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