Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日旧金山气温最高？
8月24日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
63°F或以下
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
63°F或以下
$37 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$118 交易量
7%
66-67°F
$19 交易量
14%
68-69°F
$35 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$63 交易量
31%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$149 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$208 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$65 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
4%
82°F或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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