Official Met Office guidance places the peak at 25°C for London on August 27 amid a transition from warm, humid air to widespread thunderstorms and heavy rain. Cloud cover and reduced insolation from the incoming frontal system are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, while southwesterly winds may limit advection of warmer air. Ensemble model spreads show afternoon temperatures clustering between 24–25°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the cloud and shower activity. Traders therefore price the two leading outcomes closely, as even modest shifts in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture could swing the official maximum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日伦敦的最高温度?
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
18%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
18%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office guidance places the peak at 25°C for London on August 27 amid a transition from warm, humid air to widespread thunderstorms and heavy rain. Cloud cover and reduced insolation from the incoming frontal system are the dominant factors capping daytime heating, while southwesterly winds may limit advection of warmer air. Ensemble model spreads show afternoon temperatures clustering between 24–25°C depending on the exact timing of any breaks in the cloud and shower activity. Traders therefore price the two leading outcomes closely, as even modest shifts in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture could swing the official maximum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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