Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in London on August 27 under mostly settled high pressure, with light winds and limited overnight cooling, yet ensemble spreads and local urban effects create meaningful uncertainty around 18–19°C. Model runs show subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while historical August minima near 15–16°C underscore the narrow range separating the leading market outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日伦敦最低气温?
19°C 40%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
16°C 10%
13°C或以下
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
34%
19°C
40%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
19°C 40%
18°C 34%
20°C 13%
16°C 10%
13°C或以下
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
34%
19°C
40%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in London on August 27 under mostly settled high pressure, with light winds and limited overnight cooling, yet ensemble spreads and local urban effects create meaningful uncertainty around 18–19°C. Model runs show subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while historical August minima near 15–16°C underscore the narrow range separating the leading market outcomes. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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