Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日伦敦最低气温？
8月25日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18℃ 15%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
12%
16°C
28%
17°C
39%
18℃
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18℃ 15%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
12°C
$5 交易量
5%
13°C
$4 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$21 交易量
28%
17°C
$60 交易量
39%
18℃
$0 交易量
15%
19°C
$42 交易量
5%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$147结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$147结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题