Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日伦敦最低气温？
8月26日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,751 交易量
$12,751 交易量
2026-08-26
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,751 交易量
$12,751 交易量
2026-08-26
12°C或以下
$594 交易量
否
13°C
$56 交易量
否
14°C
$448 交易量
否
15°C
$1,517 交易量
否
16°C
$356 交易量
否
17°C
$2,245 交易量
否
18°C
$2,563 交易量
是
19°C
$946 交易量
否
20°C
$105 交易量
否
21°C
$1,039 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$2,884 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,751结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,751结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent Met Office observations and forecast model runs for London on August 26, 2026, show overnight minimum temperatures holding near 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's 100% implied probability for an 18°C low, reflecting the consensus from surface stations and numerical guidance that further drops are unlikely under the prevailing mild, muggy air mass. Historical August climatology for the region supports typical minima in the mid-teens Celsius, but the current setup's stability has reinforced trader confidence. A late shift to clearer skies could allow additional cooling below the threshold at some sites, though models show low likelihood through the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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