Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–25°C for Moscow on August 31, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under variable cloud cover and light rain chances that could suppress peak insolation. This uncertainty in exact maximum—sensitive to timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of local effects—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C. Historical late-August climatology averages near 19–23°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against evolving guidance; next model cycles and official updates will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日莫斯科最高气温？
8月31日莫斯科最高气温？
23°C 43%
22°C 24%
24°C 21%
20°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 43%
22°C 24%
24°C 21%
20°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C
$0 交易量
12%
22°C
$0 交易量
24%
23°C
$10 交易量
33%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$51 交易量
10%
26°C
$0 交易量
6%
27°C or higher
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–25°C for Moscow on August 31, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under variable cloud cover and light rain chances that could suppress peak insolation. This uncertainty in exact maximum—sensitive to timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of local effects—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C. Historical late-August climatology averages near 19–23°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against evolving guidance; next model cycles and official updates will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$61结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–25°C for Moscow on August 31, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under variable cloud cover and light rain chances that could suppress peak insolation. This uncertainty in exact maximum—sensitive to timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of local effects—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C. Historical late-August climatology averages near 19–23°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against evolving guidance; next model cycles and official updates will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–25°C for Moscow on August 31, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under variable cloud cover and light rain chances that could suppress peak insolation. This uncertainty in exact maximum—sensitive to timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution of local effects—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C. Historical late-August climatology averages near 19–23°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against evolving guidance; next model cycles and official updates will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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