Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日巴黎最高气温？
8月29日巴黎最高气温？
23°C 39%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
4%
23°C 39%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$373 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,185 交易量
<1%
17°C
$373 交易量
<1%
18°C
$256 交易量
<1%
19°C
$109 交易量
1%
20°C
$345 交易量
2%
21°C
$933 交易量
9%
22°C
$777 交易量
28%
23°C
$1,116 交易量
39%
24°C
$564 交易量
20%
25°C or higher
$461 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,492结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,492结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from European and U.S. models indicate a high of 21–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a slow-moving Atlantic low-pressure system that maintains southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers through the afternoon. These conditions suppress daytime heating below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.1°C while limiting the risk of stronger warming. Market-implied odds, which place the greatest probability on 23°C followed by 22°C and 24°C, closely track this narrow consensus range. New model runs issued overnight will determine whether any slight shift in timing of the rain or wind strengthens or weakens the expected peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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