Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29, 2026, project a sunny day with highs near 80–82°F followed by clear to mostly clear skies overnight, supporting radiative cooling under light north-to-southwest winds and falling dew points in the mid-50s. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 66.4°F and favor an overnight minimum in the mid-60s, consistent with the market’s leading 66–67°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability and the secondary 64–65°F bin at 27%. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though small revisions in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. No significant upstream weather systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月29日的最低温度?
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 6%
55°F或更低
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
1%
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 6%
55°F或更低
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 29, 2026, project a sunny day with highs near 80–82°F followed by clear to mostly clear skies overnight, supporting radiative cooling under light north-to-southwest winds and falling dew points in the mid-50s. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 66.4°F and favor an overnight minimum in the mid-60s, consistent with the market’s leading 66–67°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability and the secondary 64–65°F bin at 27%. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though small revisions in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. No significant upstream weather systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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