Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月30日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
24°C或以下
$56 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$20 交易量
6%
28°C
$2 交易量
13%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$0 交易量
26%
31°C
$35 交易量
21%
32°C
$0 交易量
19%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C或更高
$40 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$153结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$153结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, dominate conditions over Metro Manila and are expected to suppress maximum temperatures on August 30 through extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daily highs of 27–29 °C with very high rainfall probabilities, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines near 30 °C are being undercut by these dynamic factors, while model spread in timing and intensity of showers creates the tight clustering around 29–31 °C in trader pricing. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the weekend will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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