**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply.** PAGASA forecasts a minimum of 24°C for August 30 with 90% rain probability, consistent with multiple model runs showing 24–27°C lows amid high humidity (near 90%) and persistent southwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy monsoon rains and possible low-pressure influences have maintained elevated dew points, narrowing the likely range to 23–27°C and producing closely matched market odds. Traders are weighing subtle differences in model timing of rain and wind strength, with new PAGASA updates and observational data from the next 24 hours expected to clarify the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日马尼拉的最低温度?
22°C 50%
24°C 50%
26°C 28%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
24°C 50%
26°C 28%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, is the main driver keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply.** PAGASA forecasts a minimum of 24°C for August 30 with 90% rain probability, consistent with multiple model runs showing 24–27°C lows amid high humidity (near 90%) and persistent southwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy monsoon rains and possible low-pressure influences have maintained elevated dew points, narrowing the likely range to 23–27°C and producing closely matched market odds. Traders are weighing subtle differences in model timing of rain and wind strength, with new PAGASA updates and observational data from the next 24 hours expected to clarify the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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