Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives current market odds by sustaining extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila through late August. This limits nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring the lowest temperature on August 31 near the 25–27°C range that accounts for over 75% of implied probability. Historical August nighttime lows average 25–26°C at PAGASA stations, with variations tied to cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, and rainfall timing that suppress drops below 24°C or allow brief clear spells pushing toward 28°C. Forecasters note model consensus on continued moderate-to-heavy rains, though any overnight clearing could shift outcomes toward the lower tail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月31日马尼拉的最低温度？
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
15%
22°C
18%
23°C
47%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
50%
30°C
21%
31°C或更高
2%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$0 交易量
15%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
47%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
50%
30°C
$0 交易量
21%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives current market odds by sustaining extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila through late August. This limits nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring the lowest temperature on August 31 near the 25–27°C range that accounts for over 75% of implied probability. Historical August nighttime lows average 25–26°C at PAGASA stations, with variations tied to cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, and rainfall timing that suppress drops below 24°C or allow brief clear spells pushing toward 28°C. Forecasters note model consensus on continued moderate-to-heavy rains, though any overnight clearing could shift outcomes toward the lower tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives current market odds by sustaining extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila through late August. This limits nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring the lowest temperature on August 31 near the 25–27°C range that accounts for over 75% of implied probability. Historical August nighttime lows average 25–26°C at PAGASA stations, with variations tied to cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, and rainfall timing that suppress drops below 24°C or allow brief clear spells pushing toward 28°C. Forecasters note model consensus on continued moderate-to-heavy rains, though any overnight clearing could shift outcomes toward the lower tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives current market odds by sustaining extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila through late August. This limits nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring the lowest temperature on August 31 near the 25–27°C range that accounts for over 75% of implied probability. Historical August nighttime lows average 25–26°C at PAGASA stations, with variations tied to cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, and rainfall timing that suppress drops below 24°C or allow brief clear spells pushing toward 28°C. Forecasters note model consensus on continued moderate-to-heavy rains, though any overnight clearing could shift outcomes toward the lower tail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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