Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 32°C in Shanghai on August 30 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating. Current observations show highs near 31–33°C amid humid air masses, with ensemble guidance indicating limited intensification potential before frontal influences arrive. Historical August averages around 31°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support this narrow range, while minor model spreads introduce small probabilities for 31°C or 33°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will clarify any shifts in steering patterns or moisture ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日上海气温最高？
8月30日上海气温最高？
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
17%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$53 交易量
<1%
27°C
$35 交易量
<1%
28°C
$182 交易量
<1%
29°C
$119 交易量
<1%
30°C
$120 交易量
4%
31°C
$224 交易量
21%
32°C
$1,019 交易量
57%
33°C
$194 交易量
17%
34°C
$80 交易量
4%
35°C
$0 交易量
3%
36°C or higher
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 32°C in Shanghai on August 30 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating. Current observations show highs near 31–33°C amid humid air masses, with ensemble guidance indicating limited intensification potential before frontal influences arrive. Historical August averages around 31°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support this narrow range, while minor model spreads introduce small probabilities for 31°C or 33°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will clarify any shifts in steering patterns or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 32°C in Shanghai on August 30 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating. Current observations show highs near 31–33°C amid humid air masses, with ensemble guidance indicating limited intensification potential before frontal influences arrive. Historical August averages around 31°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support this narrow range, while minor model spreads introduce small probabilities for 31°C or 33°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will clarify any shifts in steering patterns or moisture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,061结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 32°C in Shanghai on August 30 as the most probable outcome, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions featuring southeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating. Current observations show highs near 31–33°C amid humid air masses, with ensemble guidance indicating limited intensification potential before frontal influences arrive. Historical August averages around 31°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support this narrow range, while minor model spreads introduce small probabilities for 31°C or 33°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models will clarify any shifts in steering patterns or moisture ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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