**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日上海最低气温？
8月30日上海最低气温？
27°C 76%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
76%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$5 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
9%
26°C
$310 交易量
3%
27°C
$856 交易量
76%
28°C
$2,682 交易量
14%
29°C
$58 交易量
2%
30°C
$5 交易量
1%
31°C
$5 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$21 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C.
Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,951结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C.
Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,951结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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