Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日上海最低气温？
8月29日上海最低气温？
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
3%
25°C
$75 交易量
5%
26°C
$105 交易量
8%
27°C
$344 交易量
50%
28°C
$121 交易量
40%
29°C
$67 交易量
5%
30°C
$23 交易量
1%
31°C
$10 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$931结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$931结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project an overnight low near 27°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This consensus positions 27°C and 28°C as the dominant market outcomes at 50.0% and 39.5% implied probability, respectively, while cooler thresholds like 26°C or below carry lower odds amid stable model runs showing minimal deviation. Warmer extremes above 29°C remain improbable given the absence of strong warming advection or clear-sky conditions that could suppress the minimum. Updated guidance over the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without notable shifts from synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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