Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日上海最低气温？
8月28日上海最低气温？
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 12%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C or below
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
24°C 12%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C or below
$22 交易量
1%
24°C
$63 交易量
12%
25°C
$0 交易量
9%
26°C
$0 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
51%
28°C
$6 交易量
37%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$22 交易量
4%
31°C
$22 交易量
1%
32°C
$27 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$38 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$193结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$193结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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