Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Austin's overnight low on August 29 will settle in the mid-70s under clear skies, light southerly flow, and residual heat from daytime highs near 100°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling typical in drier or windier setups, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to the 71.7°F climatological average. With several temperature bins clustered near 25–30% implied probability, traders weigh minor variations in dew point, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Updated model runs and airport observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日奥斯汀的最低温度?
86°F或更高 86%
78-79°F 50%
67°F or below 29%
74-75°F 28%
67°F or below
29%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
86%
86°F或更高 86%
78-79°F 50%
67°F or below 29%
74-75°F 28%
67°F or below
29%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Austin's overnight low on August 29 will settle in the mid-70s under clear skies, light southerly flow, and residual heat from daytime highs near 100°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling typical in drier or windier setups, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to the 71.7°F climatological average. With several temperature bins clustered near 25–30% implied probability, traders weigh minor variations in dew point, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Updated model runs and airport observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题