Latest National Weather Service forecasts highlight the persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current as the dominant factors capping San Francisco's August 30 high near 66°F, well below the late-summer climatological average. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 68-69°F bin at 33% implied probability, centers on modest afternoon clearing and lighter winds that could add a couple of degrees, while stronger sea breezes or lingering stratus favor the 66-67°F range at 22.5%. Model spread around boundary-layer mixing and wind strength sustains the broad distribution, with 70-71°F at 19% representing upside scenarios from temporary thinning of coastal clouds. Resolution depends on the official NOAA reading at San Francisco International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日旧金山气温最高？
8月30日旧金山气温最高？
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 33%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
59°F或以下
$143 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$105 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$30 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$179 交易量
9%
66-67°F
$285 交易量
22%
68-69°F
$342 交易量
33%
70-71°F
$641 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$348 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$7 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$15 交易量
1%
78°F或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts highlight the persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current as the dominant factors capping San Francisco's August 30 high near 66°F, well below the late-summer climatological average. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 68-69°F bin at 33% implied probability, centers on modest afternoon clearing and lighter winds that could add a couple of degrees, while stronger sea breezes or lingering stratus favor the 66-67°F range at 22.5%. Model spread around boundary-layer mixing and wind strength sustains the broad distribution, with 70-71°F at 19% representing upside scenarios from temporary thinning of coastal clouds. Resolution depends on the official NOAA reading at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,306结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts highlight the persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current as the dominant factors capping San Francisco's August 30 high near 66°F, well below the late-summer climatological average. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 68-69°F bin at 33% implied probability, centers on modest afternoon clearing and lighter winds that could add a couple of degrees, while stronger sea breezes or lingering stratus favor the 66-67°F range at 22.5%. Model spread around boundary-layer mixing and wind strength sustains the broad distribution, with 70-71°F at 19% representing upside scenarios from temporary thinning of coastal clouds. Resolution depends on the official NOAA reading at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,306结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts highlight the persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current as the dominant factors capping San Francisco's August 30 high near 66°F, well below the late-summer climatological average. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 68-69°F bin at 33% implied probability, centers on modest afternoon clearing and lighter winds that could add a couple of degrees, while stronger sea breezes or lingering stratus favor the 66-67°F range at 22.5%. Model spread around boundary-layer mixing and wind strength sustains the broad distribution, with 70-71°F at 19% representing upside scenarios from temporary thinning of coastal clouds. Resolution depends on the official NOAA reading at San Francisco International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题