A warm, dry air mass dominates São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driving daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from sources such as INMET-aligned models, CGE, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 30–32°C—well above the August climatological average of roughly 24–25°C—peaking in the mid-afternoon before radiative cooling sets in. This positions 32°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, with 31°C and 33°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and advection strength. Low humidity (near 30–40%) and stable subsidence further suppress convective development, limiting upside surprises beyond 33°C while anchoring probabilities tightly around the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日圣保罗的最高温度?
32°C 53%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
30°C 8%
$17,240 交易量
$17,240 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
53%
33°C
15%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 53%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
30°C 8%
$17,240 交易量
$17,240 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
53%
33°C
15%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A warm, dry air mass dominates São Paulo on August 28, 2026, driving daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from sources such as INMET-aligned models, CGE, and international agencies converge on a maximum of 30–32°C—well above the August climatological average of roughly 24–25°C—peaking in the mid-afternoon before radiative cooling sets in. This positions 32°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, with 31°C and 33°C reflecting minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and advection strength. Low humidity (near 30–40%) and stable subsidence further suppress convective development, limiting upside surprises beyond 33°C while anchoring probabilities tightly around the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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