A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月29日圣保罗的最高温度？
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
28°C or below
$42 交易量
<1%
29°C
$30 交易量
<1%
30°C
$143 交易量
2%
31°C
$30 交易量
3%
32°C
$409 交易量
7%
33°C
$163 交易量
29%
34°C
$410 交易量
43%
35°C
$653 交易量
18%
36°C
$120 交易量
5%
37°C
$205 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$1,469 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$3,675结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,675结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETA warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题