Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread afternoon convective activity with 60–80% thunderstorm chances. These conditions promote cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects add minor variability. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 32°C and 31°C implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around precipitation timing and intensity, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring the suppressive influence of expected rain. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日深圳气温最高？
8月30日深圳气温最高？
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
25°C or below
$67 交易量
<1%
26°C
$61 交易量
<1%
27°C
$190 交易量
1%
28°C
$131 交易量
2%
29°C
$5 交易量
3%
30°C
$36 交易量
20%
31°C
$85 交易量
31%
32°C
$129 交易量
33%
33°C
$7 交易量
12%
34°C
$145 交易量
6%
35°C or higher
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread afternoon convective activity with 60–80% thunderstorm chances. These conditions promote cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects add minor variability. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 32°C and 31°C implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around precipitation timing and intensity, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring the suppressive influence of expected rain. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$882结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread afternoon convective activity with 60–80% thunderstorm chances. These conditions promote cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects add minor variability. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 32°C and 31°C implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around precipitation timing and intensity, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring the suppressive influence of expected rain. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$882结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points near 25–26°C, and widespread afternoon convective activity with 60–80% thunderstorm chances. These conditions promote cloud cover and evaporative cooling that typically cap daytime maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, while steering patterns and sea-breeze effects add minor variability. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 32°C and 31°C implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around precipitation timing and intensity, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring the suppressive influence of expected rain. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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